Report - listing of OFFICIAL Products in database, sorted by product name.
Product Name
Brief Description
7-Day Evapotranspiration Forecast The 7-day evapotranspiration forecast displays graphically on the
Internet the expected amount of evapotranspiration in hundredths of
an inch for each of the next 7 days using a reference crop of
alfalfa. A second graphic is provided for each day that indicates
whether the evapotranspiration is expected to be above or below
normal. This product will be issued daily at 5 am local time on a
seasonal basis (March 15-October 15). Graphical Convective Outlook for the Alaska FIR The Alaska Aviation Weather Unit (AAWU) issues area forecasts that
include thunderstorm information for each zone. These forecasts
contain information as to the timing and some detail in a text
format. This new product would provide this information in a
graphical format. It will be the convective guidance for 0-12 and
12-24-hour time periods.
Included are areas where convection will occur as isolated,
scattered, or numerous. Severe convection potential would be
outlined. Other details such as the thunderstorm bases and tops,
timing of development, and some graphical reasoning indicated.
Observed Precipitation Map The National Weather Service (NWS) collects rainfall data to support
its forecast and warning operations. Individual River Forecast
Centers (RFCs)and Weather Forecast Offices typically provide rainfall
collectives in text format and graphical format for their areas of
responsibility. The National Centers for Environmental Prediction
(NCEP) Climate Prediction Center (CPC), collects additional data from
cooperative observers. This rainfall data is made available to HPC and
is used extensively for verification purposes.This rainfall data is
plotted on a map of the CONUS and made available to
forecasters. The data is used for feedback on forecast accuracy and
can be used in case
studies and other scientific endeavors. Water Resource Outlook Multi-Media Briefing This Internet-based multi-media recorded briefing provides water
managers in the Southeast U.S. with a one to three month water
resource outlook based on current surface water/groundwater/soil
conditions, reservoir conditions, input from state and federal water
resource partners on supply and water use, Climate Prediction Center
weekly/monthly temperature and precipitation forecasts, and SERFC
ensemble streamflow predictions. Weekend Weather Graphic Web site statistics have shown that traffic on WFO websites increases
as the weekend approaches. Customers are looking for the forecast
for the upcoming weekend so that they can plan their activities. The
Weekend Weather Graphic provides a quick and easily accessible view of
the forecast for the weekend. The Weekend Weather Graphic is
comprised of maximum temperature (MaxT),minimum temperature(MinT),
and probability of precipitation (PoP) derived from the NDFD grids
for the WFO forecast area. 3- to 14-day Hazards Assessment The Climate Prediction Center issues this product for the contiguous
U.S. and Alaska to provide potential hazardous conditions from
extreme temperature, high wind, heavy precipitation or lack of
precipitation, and dry or moist soils and wildfire risk. 3- to 14-day Hazards Assessment Discussion The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) provides a text discussion for the
contiguous U.S. and Alaska with technical insight to further assist in
assessing potentially hazardous conditions in the 3-to 14-Day Hazards
Assesment. 6- to 10-Day and 8- to 14-day Excessive Heat Outlooks (Contiguous U.S) The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues 6- to 10-Day and 8- to
14-Day excessive heat outlooks in probabilistic format for the
Contiguous U.S. 6- to 10-Day and 8- to 14-day Maximum Heat Index Prediction The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues 6- to 10-Day and 8- to
14-Day Maximum Heat Index Predictions for approximately 200 locations
in the Contiguous U.S. 6- to 10-Day and 8- to 14-Day Mean North American 500 millibar Outlook The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues these outlooks to provide
insight into the 6- to 10-day and 8- to 14-day temperature and
precipitation outlooks by indicating mean circulation patterns. 6- to 10-Day and 8- to 14-day Minimum Wind Chill Prediction (Contiguous U.S and Alaska) CPC will issue maps indicating the probability (in percent) that the
minimum wind chill value will in the below normal category and below
seven specific thresholds: 32F, 28F, 20F, 10F, 0F, -20F, and -40F.
The wind chill index formula is described in Instruction 10-513 (WFO
Winter Weather Products Specification) 6- to 10-Day and 8- to 14-Day Outlook Discussion (Contiguous U.S. and Alaska). The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) provides a technical discussion
of the meteorological and climatological basis for the outlooks. 6- to 10-Day and 8- to 14-Day Outlooks (Contiguous U.S. and Alaska) The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues 6- to 10-Day and 8- to
14-Day outlooks in probabilistic format for the Contiguous U.S. and
Alaska. ABRFC Recreational Forecast Graphics The National Weather Service (NWS) is the agency responsible for
issuing river forecasts and flood warnings for the United States.
This information is provided in order to protect life and property as
well as to enhance the national economy. In cooperation with national,
state and local agencies, as well as private organizations and the
public, the NWS determines the river levels which correspond to the
beginning of significant damage from high water. This level of water
at a given river location is termed flood stage. The NWS issues
special river forecasts and flood warnings when levels are expected
to equal or exceed flood stage. In addition to problems caused by
flooding, various users have danger and incur risk due to river
fluctuations and river levels lower than flood stage. Examples of
these types of users of river forecast information include navigation
interests or the general public who use the river and river banks for
recreational purposes. The experimental Recreational Forecast
graphics are Internet web pages that depict the expected river levels
for the Illinois River of Oklahoma, a very popular canoe and raft
float stream. These expected stream flow levels are translated to a
river floatability index based on guidelines provided by the Illinois
River Association and the State of Oklahoma Scenic Rivers Commission.
Recreational interests can use the information to better insure a safe
experience on and near the river. ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) FLOOD INUNDATION MAP INTERFACE The NWS River Forecast Centers produce river stage forecasts for more
than three thousand locations in the U.S. These forecasts reference
numeric gage heights at a single site along the river, generally in
or near a city. Flood inundation maps are available for specific NWS
forecast points where a flood inundation library has been developed
through a partnership with Federal, state, and/or local agencies.
Flood Inundation Maps show the extent of flooding expected spatially
over a given area. This will indicate where roadways, streets,
buildings, airports, etc., are likely to be impacted by floodwaters.
Combined with river observations and NWS river forecasts, inundation
maps provide decision-makers additional information needed to better
mitigate the impacts of flooding and build more resilient
communities.
Air Quality Index (AQI) The Air Quality Index (AQI)), also know as Clearing Index and
Ventilation Index is both a text and graphical product produced by
forecasters in support of the Fire Weather Program. The AQI has been
used for many years by health and land management officials to help
determine pollution and smoke dispersion on any given day. AQI
numbers range from 0 (no dispersion) to 1000+ (excellent dispersion).
When used as a Ventilation Index, values range from 0 to 100,000 Airman's Meteorological Advisories (AIRMET) AIRMETs are concise descriptions in abbreviated language of the
development and occurrence or expected occurrence in time and space
of specified en-route weather phenomena issued by the National
Weather Services Aviation Weather Center, Alaskan Aviation Weather
Unit, and Weather Forecast Office Honolulu. AIRMET phenomena can
affect the safety of aircraft operations. Bulletins contain details
of potentially hazardous conditions over the continental United
States, Alaska, Hawaii, and adjacent waters. An AIRMET will be issued
when any of the following weather phenomena occur and affect an area
of at least 3,000 square miles:
Moderate icing,
Moderate turbulence,
Sustained surface wind of 30 knots or more,
Ceilings less than 1,000 feet and/or visibility less than miles
affecting over 50 percent of an area at any one time or,
Extensive mountain obscuration (may be less than 3000 square miles
for Pacific Ocean islands).
Alaska Graphic Area Forecast The Alaska Graphic Area Forecast (GFA) is a graphical representation
of forecasts contained in the text Area Forecasts (FA) for Alaska.
The GFA is comprised of four separate graphics produced using NMAP
software at the Alaska Aviation Weather Unit (AAWU). Alaska Low Level Significant Weather Graphic (SWL) The Alaska Low Level Significant Weather Graphic (SWL) is a graphic
product providing an outlook forecast of significant weather for
aviation below 25,000 ft (FL250). Alaskan Sea Surface Temperature Analysis Sea surface temperature analysis for the waters surrounding Alaska.
Atlantic and Pacific High Wind and Associated Seas Depicts areas of strong winds and associated seas over large parts of
the Atlantic and Pacific. Issued outside the hurricane season. Atlantic Hurricane Outlook The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues the Hurricane Outlook for
the Atlantic basin. No outlook, however, can give certainty as to
whether or not a particular locality will be impacted by a tropical
storm or hurricane in any given year. Audio Weather Briefing The Audio Weather Briefing is an Internet-accessible recording that
provides a wide suite of weather information. The recording contains
information that alerts users to any hazardous weather that is
forecast to affect the region for a period of seven days from the
recording date, with a heavy emphasis on the current days weather.
The recording explains, in broad and primarily non-technical terms,
what weather features are expected to affect the region, as well as
what specific weather hazards may result from these features
(flooding, tornadoes, excessive heat, severe thunderstorms, tropical
weather, fog, rip currents, etc.) Aviation Area Forecast (FA) Aviation Area Forecasts (FAs) describe in abbreviated language the
development and occurrence or expected occurrence in time and space
of specified en-route weather phenomena below Flight Level (FL)
45,000 ft (450). The FA is a forecast of visual meteorological
conditions(VMC), clouds, and general weather conditions over an area
the size of several states.
In Alaska, the FA also includes forecasts of Instrument Flight Rule
(IFR) conditions as well as other AIRMET and SIGMET information on
thunderstorms, wind, icing and turbulence.
Over CONUS and Hawaii, the FA must be used in conjunction with the
in-flight aviation weather advisories to understand the complete
weather picture. Together, they are used to
determine forecast en-route weather and to interpolate conditions at
airports for which no Terminal Area Forecasts (TAFs) are issued. Aviation Digital Data Service The Aviation Digital Data Service (ADDS) makes available to the
aviation community through the internet digital and graphical
analyses, forecasts and observations of meteorological variables.
Developed as the data distribution component of the Aviation Gridded
Forecast System (AGFS), ADDS is a joint effort of NOAA Forecast
Systems Laboratory (FSL), NCAR Research Applications Program (RAP),
and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)Aviation
Weather Center (AWC). ADDS makes access to National Weather Service
aviation observations and forecasts easy by integrating this
information in one location, and by providing visualization tools to
assist the application of thisinformation for flight planning. Aviation Digital Data Service Flight Path Tool The FPT allows a user to view data along a specified route of flight.
The user can view important weather information on a map. Points can
be entered along a route, so that the data can be viewed in a vertical
cross section. Weather information that can be displayed on the FPT
horizontal and vertical cross section views includes, but is not
limited to:
Wind
Temperature
Relative humidity
Icing potential
Turbulence potential
AIRMETs and SIGMETs
PIREPs
TAFs
METARs
Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory (TCA) The TCA is an alphanumeric text product produced by hurricane
forecasters consisting of information extracted from the official
National Hurricane Center forecasts. The TCA is intended to provide
short-term tropical cyclone forecast guidance for international
aviation purposes.
Aviation Weather Warning (AWW) The AWW is a National Weather Service (NWS) operational warning for
weather with the potential to impact ground operations at some
airports. Specific warning criteria are decided by local airport
management and the supporting Weather Forecast Office and Blowing Dust Potential Product The Blowing Dust Potential graphical forecasts are designed to provide
customers enhanced information on the potential for blowing dust (low,
moderate, high, very high) to reduce visibilities below 1 statute mile
during the next two days for areas in the Pendleton County Warning
Area (CWA) prone to blowing dust (primarily the Columbia Basin and
Blue Mountain Foothills). California Fire Weather Web Page and Emergency Communications Center Dispatch Area (ECCDA) Forecast Summaries For the past several year, land management and fire suppression
agencies serving California have expressed a need for more
generalized fire weather forecasts suitable for agency radio
broadcasts from Emergency Communication Center Dispatch Area (ECCDA)
offices. These twice-daily fire agency radio broadcasts are critical
to relaying life saving information to fire fighting crews in the
field. The ECCDA Forecast Summary is a methodology developed to
fulfill this need.
CEILING HEIGHT AND SURFACE VISIBILITY INFORMATION ON THE MULTI-FORMAT FORECAST INFORMATION WEB PAGE Advances in computer capabilities and web services technologies, as
well as scientific advances in National Weather Service (NWS)
software, have afforded an opportunity for the NWS to create ceiling
height and surface visibility customer-based products and services.
Information dissemination via the world wide web (www) allows
customers to obtain higher resolution ceiling height and surface
visibility information in a variety of formats on demand. Center Weather Advisory (CWA) The National Weather Service's (NWS) Center Weather Advisory (CWA) is
an aviation warning for conditions meeting or approaching national
in-flight advisory criteria ( ie AIRMET, SIGMET, or SIGMET for
convection) as described in NWSI 10-811. Central Region Multimedia Weather Briefing The Multimedia Weather Briefing (MWB) is an Internet-accessible
multimedia file that provides information concerning hazardous
weather events within the service area of a Central Region office.
The MWB offers a combined visual/auditory platform for supporting the
planning activities of emergency response partners and other key
customers, as well as the general public by conveying forecaster
reasoning and confidence concerning impending hazardous weather
events, upcoming or current drought conditions, climate and
hydrologic outlooks, etc. These briefings also serve as a means of
communicating probabilities and other uncertainty information which
can be used in risk reduction assessments which may impact
preparations or actions made by our partners and customers CLIMAT Messages The program for the international exchange of monthly mean data is
called the "CLIMAT" program. The World Data Center for Meteorology,
operated by the National Climatic Data Center, collects CLIMAT
messages for publication under WMO sponsorship. Climate Diagnostics Bulletin The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues this monthly report on the
status of the ocean-atmosphere climate system in the tropics and
extratropics. Coastal Waters Forecast Product Provides marine weather information over the coastal waters -
generally from the coastline out to between 20 and 60 miles from the
coastline Coastal/Lakeshore Flood Statement/Watch/Warning The suite of products provides the public with statements, watches,
and warnings of significant coastal/lakeshore flooding events.
Coded Marine Forecast Provides an abbreviated version of the Coastal Waters Forecast Collaborative Convective Forecast Product The Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP) is a graphical
representation of expected convective occurrence at 2-, 4-, and
6-hours after issuance time. Convection is defined as a polygon of at
least 3,000 square miles with coverage of at least 25% with echoes of
at least 40 dbZ composite reflectivity and at least one echo top of
25,000 feet or greater. CCFP covers the contiguous 48 states and
portions of Ontario and Quebec south of 48 degrees north latitude. Collaborative Surf Product Surf is the number one weather-related killer in Hawaii. More lives
are lost to surf-related accidents every year in Hawaii than any
other weather event. Between 1993 to 1997, 238 ocean drownings
occurred and 473 people were hospitalized for ocean-related spine
injuries, with 77 directly caused by breaking waves. This is a
serious safety problem. The National Weather Service (NWS) Weather
Forecast Office (WFO) in Honolulu wants to better serve the
citizens of Hawaii and visitors to the islands who may not be
familiar with ocean conditions. An evolving Collaborative Nearshore
Swell and Wind Forecast for Oahu and improved web page will
incorporate educational tools and forecast explanations for all
levels of ocean-going customers. The collaborative nearshore swell
and wind forecast will be disseminated to the public via the world
wide web and other NWS dissemination methods, including the Family of
Services and NOAA Weather Wire. Convective SIGMET Convective Significant Meteorological Advisories (WST) is a text
product describing the occurrence or expected occurrence of
thunderstorms and related phenomena over the conterminous United
States and adjacent coastal waters within 2 hours of issuance tim Cook Inlet Sea Ice Analysis Aids ships navigating the ice-covered waters of Cook Inlet and into
the Port of Anchorage Crop Moisture Index. The Climate Prediction Center?s (CPC) and U.S. Department of
Agriculture?s Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF) produces the
Crop Moisture Index chart. The index indicates short term conditions.
Crosswind Calculator Aid The Crosswind Decision Aid is color-coded according to the degree of
impact the wind will have on various runways green indicating little
or no impact; yellow indicating marginal impact; and red indicating
significant impact. Each color level is triggered based on a
user-defined wind direction and wind speed threshold. The product
also includes a Wet Runway/IFR factor that effectively lowers the
crosswind speed thresholds. Current Icing Product (CIP) Severity The Current Icing Product (CIP) is an automatically-generated index
suitable for depicting areas of potentially hazardous airframe icing.
This version of the CIP was updated in December 2006. The original
CIP was implemented in 2002.
The CIP algorithm is rooted in cloud physics principles that have
been applied in the practical forecasting of icing probability and
severity using research aircraft for nearly a decade. These
principles and the resulting methods have also been applied to
studies of icing incidents and accidents, as well as daily assessment
of icing environments associated with icing pilot reports (PIREPs)
over the United States and Canada at all times of the year.
D Region Absorption Prediction, Release 2 The D-Region Absorption Prediction, Release 2 (D-RAP2) product
provides a suite of graphic and text information about the global
High Frequency (HF) radio propagation conditions related to the state
of the ionosphere’s D-region. D-RAP2 will be web based
(http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/index.html) and is an enhancement of
the current D Region Absorption Prediction product
(http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/dregion/index.html). D-RAP2 fills a void
that exists in the current product by providing absorption
information due to energetic proton precipitation at high latitudes.
The web site provides:
o A main page containing a global map of the highest HF frequencies
affected by a 1dB attenuation, estimated recovery times, and links to
subordinate pages.
o Subordinate pages containing: north and south polar maps of the
highest frequencies affected by a 10dB attenuation, and ASCII tabular
values of total absorption at 10 MHz.
o DRAP2 is updated every minute
SWPC data and products are designed to provide accurate and real-time
space weather information for the safety and benefit of our customers
Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Guidance The Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook product will consist of one graphic
with an area (s) where severe weather is anticipated during the
period. The severe weather threat areas will be depicted with a
closed line and a label indicating the dates of the expected threat.
A short 2-4 sentence paragraph will accompany the graphic to briefly
describe the area depicted and occasionally describe the key reasons
for the forecast. The forecast decision will be based on a variety
of guidance information including the GFS, UKMET and ECMWF
deterministic models, Medium Range (MREF) ensemble guidance and other
statistical techniques.
Dry Lightning Potential Index The Dry Lightning Potential Index (DLPI) is a graphical product
produced by forecasters at WFO Las Vegas (VEF) using GFE/IFPS.
Ratings of Dry Lightning potential (numbered from 0 through 6) for
the next three days (today, tomorrow and the next day) are calculated
using forecasts of boundary layer relative humidity and static
stability. The DLPI is intended to be used as general guidance,
primarily for planning purposes. The DLPI is intended as a seasonal
product, issued from June through October, when active wildfires are
most likely to occur in our forecast area Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Outlook The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues the Hurricane Outlook for
the eastern Pacific east of 140? West. No outlook, however, can give
certainty as to whether or not a particular locality will be impacted
by a tropical storm or hurricane in any given year. CPC issues this
outlook in cooperation with the Tropical Prediction Center and NOAA?s
Hurricane Research Division. Eastern Region National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Graphic Forecast Displays The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National
Weather Service (NWS) National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD)
Graphic Forecast Displays
(http://www.erh.noaa.gov/ndfd/graphical/sectors/ccc.php)where ccc is
the WFO ID, are web-based presentations of digital forecast data
originating from local Weather Forecast Office (WFO) digital
databases. The data is displayed in a graphical form on a local
scale. El Ni?o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues this monthly bulletin to
provide insight into climate outlooks by reviewing the potential
effects of the ENSO. Enhanced Product National Implementation of the use of 1 inch Diameter Hail Criteria The Severe Thunderstorm Warning (SVR) is an alphanumeric product
providing short-fused warning in¬formation on hazardous conditions
associated with thunderstorms which are expected to pose a threat to
life and/or real property. This product is prepared by each National
Weather Service (NWS) Weather Forecast Office (WFO) for their
County Warning Area (CWA) of responsibility. In the Western Region
(WR) and Central Region (CR) a Severe Thunderstorm Warning is
currently being issued experimentally based on expectation of winds
gusting to 58 mph or greater and/or hail of one (1) inch diameter or
greater. Pending successful completion of this experiment, all NWS
sites will issue Severe Thunderstorm Warnings based on these
criteria.
Enhanced Winter Weather Guidance Product Suite The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) proposes to produce
probability guidance for three specific snow/sleet accumulation
thresholds per forecast day out to Day 3. HPC will also generate
separate probability graphics for the exceedance of freezing rain.
In addition a single graphic will depict both HPC forecast position
of significant surface low pressure centers over the contiguous U.S.
and conveyance of uncertainty of the forecast position. This will be
depicted in 12 hour increments out to Day 3. Ensemble Trace plot Currently the National Weather Service (NWS) River Forecast Centers
(RFCs) and Weather Field Offices (WFOs) produce a wide variety of
river forecasts, which indicate current and future river conditions.
The Ensemble Trace Plot prepared by the North Central River Forecast
center (NCRFC) will be issued as a Web page graphic. The graphic
will be for the NCRFC?s area of responsibility. It will be issued
once a month (after the Climate Prediction center (CPC) outlooks are
released at mid-month). It will cover the three month period after
the issuance (for example, graphic released around May 26 will cover
June-August period). Expected Value plot Description: Currently the National Weather Service River Forecast
Centers and Weather Forecast Offices produce a wide variety of river
forecasts to indicate current and future river conditions. The
Expected Value graphic indicates timing and confidence levels for
forecast stages for a selected time-frame, generally 90 days. This
would provide an overall range of expected hydrologic conditions
based on computed probabilities. The Expected Value Graphic will be
issued as a web-based graphic for NCRFC?s area of responsibility. It
will be issued once a month after the Climate Prediction Center
outlooks are released at mid-month to cover the ensuing three month
period (i.e. graphic issued around May 26 will cover the period from
June-August). Extreme Wind Warning (EWW) The Extreme Wind Warning (EWW) is a text product prepared by the
National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs). The
product warns of imminent or impending extreme winds associated with
a landfalling hurricane. Fire Weather Point Forecast Matrix Land management agencies in Georgia and North Carolina have expressed
a need for easily accessible tabular forecast data that is tailored
toward fire behavior applications. A fire weather version of the
Point Forecast Matrix (PFM) table fits this need well because it
allows agency specialists to quickly run simple fire behavior models
for planning purposes. The product is called the Fire Weather Point
Forecast Matrix (PFW) and is generated routinely for the National
Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS) sites or other areas as determined
by the users. This additional data will help land management agencies
to ensure the safety of fire crews as well as better plan prescribed
burns and other projects in a cost and resource effective manner.
Also, land managers have expressed a need for better tools to predict
and manage smoke dispersion. They have also requested that the NWS
include an Atmospheric Dispersion Index (ADI) and Low Visibility
Occurrence Risk Index (LVORI) in the PFW product.
WFO Fire Weather PFW’s are generated for the Remote Automated Weather
Station (RAWS)/NFDRS sites using an edited version of the standard PFM
formatter. This formatter produces needed fire weather parameters from
the local WFO’s Digital Forecast Database (DFD). PFW's can be
generated for any grid point in a DFD based upon user request. The
web delivery of the product for fire weather customers will include a
disclaimer at the top of the page stating “This product is for
planning and review purposes only and is not to be substituted for an
official fire weather spot forecast. The data displayed are calculated
from a 5.0 by 5.0 km digital database and only approximates weather
conditions in highly varying terrain. Please relay any comments you
have to your local NWS office.
An example of the PFW can be seen at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=GSPPFWGSP .
Fire Weather Threat 4-Panel Graphic The Fire Weather Threat 4-Panel Graphic displays on the Internet
several parameters that are critical for fire weather. In the upper
left corner of the graphic is a ?Red Flag Risk Index? based on
forecast minimum relative humidity (RH) and forecast maximum
sustained wind. In the upper right hand corner is the Red Flag Risk
Index for the current hour based on the GFE RH and wind observation
database. In the lower left corner is the Haines Threat Index based
on the forecast high level Haines Index and forecast minimum relative
humidity. A second graphic is available based on the Forecast Haines
Index and the current relative humidity from the GFE observation
database. In the lower right hand panel three graphics reside. The
probability of 25% or lower RH, 15% or lower RH, and the current
observed RH. Fire Weather Watch/Warning Display The Fire Weather "Red Flag" Watch/Warning Display provides an HTML
visual display of all fire weather "Red Flag" watch/warnings that are
currently in effect across the western U.S. Five Day Sea Ice Forecast Forecast sea ice conditions over the waters surrounding Alaska valid
at the day five period.
Flash Flood Potential Index The Flash Flood Potential Index (FFPI) is a text product produced by
forecasters at the WFO SGX and WFO LOX using objective forecasts
techniques based upon model data. Ratings of flash flood potential
(numbers 0 through 4) for the next two days (today and tomorrow or
tomorrow and the next day - depending on the issuance time) are
calculated using precipitable water, winds aloft (700 mb), and
forecaster knowledge of other atmospheric factors such as stability
and atmospheric capping. The FFPI is issued during flash flood season
from June 1st through September 30th.
Flash Flood Potential Rating The Flash Flood Potential Rating (FFPR) is both a text and graphical
product produced by forecasters at the WFO SLC using GFE/IFPS.
Ratings of flash flood potential (numbers 1 through 6) for the next
two days (today and tomorrow or tomorrow and the next Forecast Icing Potential (FIP) The Forecast Icing Potential (FIP) product is an
automatically-generated forecast index of icing potential developed
by the In-Flight Icing Product Development Team sponsored by the
Federal Aviation Administration?s Aviation Weather Research Program.
GIS Compatible NDFD Data on the WFO Internet Page NOAAs National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs)
produce graphical forecasts for the National Digital Forecast
Database (NDFD). The NDFD forecasts are available to the public in
GRIB2 format, a World Meteorological Organization standard.
Unfortunately, this format is not widely used outside of the
meteorological community. In this project GRIB2 files from the MFR
county warning and forecast area are converted to shapefile format
and posted to the internet webpage. Global Tropics Hazards/ Benefits Assessment The Global Tropics Hazards/Benefits Assessment, issued by the Climate
Prediction Center (CPC), provides an outlook for the upcoming week 1
and week 2 time periods for areas expecting extensive and persistent
enhanced / suppressed rainfall and regions where conditions are
especially favorable / unfavorable for tropical cyclogenesis. GovDelivery Southeast River Forecast Center (SERFC) Subscription Service GovDelivery is a subscription service that serves as an efficient
means of notifying partners of the issuance of critical SERFC
products. GovDelivery specializes in the unique distribution of
government information, and currently has contracts in place with
many other state and federal agencies, including FEMA. Graphical - Weather Story of the Day The Graphical "Weather Story of the Day" is a graphical representation
(product) which depicts the most important weather feature in the
forecast area of responsibility of individual NWS Weather Forecast
Offices (WFO). The "Weather Story of the Day" is not time dependent.
That is, the product depicts the most significant weather feature
through the 7-day forecast period. A graphical user interface allows
the forecaster to include a brief text, a few sentences in length,
describing the "Weather Story of the Day" graphical product. Graphical Aviation Time Series The National Weather Service's (NWS) Graphical Aviation Time Series
(GATS) is an optional product displaying a time series of various
weather elements important to aviation. The weather elements
displayed in time series format include, but may not be restricted
to, temperature, dew point, relative humidity, heat index, wind
chill, altimeter setting, wind direction, wind speed, wind gust,
ceiling height, visibility, and precipitation. These time-series
graphs are created by downloading 5-minute ASOS observations once
each hour, with a 24-hour floating window of data available. Graphical Forecast Table The National Weather Service's (NWS) Graphical Forecast Table provides
a graphical representation of digital/tabular forecasts of maximum
temperature, minimum temperature, probability of precipitation, 3-
hourly temperatures,dewpoint temperatures, relative humidity, sky
condition, wind direction and speed,obstruction to visibility, and
precipitation type. Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook The Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook will display graphically on
the internet the weather hazards for the WFO County Warning Area
(CWA) for 24 hour periods beginning with the current day and
continuing through day 7. It is intended to supplement the Hazardous
Weather Outlook text product. Graphical Local Hazardous Weather Outlook The National Weather Service has implemented a daily Hazardous Weather
Outlook (HWO) text product. Its main focus is identifying all
potential weather hazards during the next 24 hour time frame. The
Local Hazardous Weather page ismeant to build off of the HWO text
product, providing a more detailed aerial graphical depiction of the
threat type and coverage. Graphical Milepost Forecast The Graphical Milepost Forecast allows the user to check the forecast
in either meteogram or table format for the next 24 hours at mileposts
along all major highways across the Pendleton CWA. Graphical Severe Weather Warnings The Graphical Severe Weather Warning (GSWW) combines the polygon
generated
by WARNGEN for a TOR or SVR issuance with a current radar
reflectivity image, high-detail GIS map backgrounds showing roads,
cities, and terrain, and a summary of demographic information for the
population at risk. The GSWW also contains the text of the warning and
any subsequent SVSs issued for that warning.... Graphical Short Term Forecast Product GraphiCast The Graphical Short Term Forecast Product (GraphiCast) is a graphical
representation of the short term weather forecast (0 to 6 hours) in
the forecast area of responsibility of individual NWS Weather
Forecast Offices (WFO). It depicts current radar, satellite, or
observation imagery with graphical and text annotations showing
forecast weather conditions in the next several hours. In rapidly
developing situations, it is updated at least hourly. Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook This product is a visiual companion to the test TWO. The text TWO is
ans existing product that describes areas of disturbed weather and
their potential for tropical cyclone formation. The graphical TWO
indicates the current location of the weather systems by encircling
them and indicating their potential for development with a genesis
probability forecast. Graphical Turbulence Guidance The Graphical Turbulence Guidance (GTG) is an automatically generated
turbulence product that predicts the location and intensity of
turbulence over the continental United States (CONUS). Grassland Fire Danger Index for the Kansas Plains The Grassland Fire Danger Index (GFDI) product/service is a text and
graphical representation of the Grassland Fire Danger Index values
that correspond to the likelihood that fires will get out of control.
Three-hourly GFDI values will be represented, giving customers a clear
indication of not only the index value but also the time and duration
of the values at a specific grid location Great Lakes Break-up Outlook Product Issued in March. Provides guidance on when any ice remaining on the
Great Lakes will dissipate. Great Lakes Ice Outlook Issued during winter. Provides guidance on expected ice growth and
decay on the Great Lakes. Great Lakes Marine Alert Message Alerts users of forecast storm or hurricane force winds on any of the
Great Lakes.
Great Lakes Storm Summary Provides information on the occurrence of storm or hurricane force
winds on any of the Great Lakes. Gridded Day 2 and Day 3 Excessive Precipitation Forecast The Gridded Day 2 and Day 3 Excessive Precipitation Forecasts are
display the probability of precipitation amounts exceeding the flash
flood guidance values issued by the River Forecast Centers at the
time of product issuance. The product displays areas for the
continental United States where the probability of precipitation
amounts exceeding flash flood guidance is slight (defined as threat
in the range 5 percent to less than 10 percent), moderate (defined as
threat from 10 percent to less than 15 percent), and high (defined as
threat 15 percent or greater). The River Forecast Centers do not
currently issue flash flood guidance for days 2 and 3 so at this time
the product will be based on the day 1 flash flood guidance.
Gridded Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook The Melbourne Weather Forecast Office (WFO) Gridded Graphical
Hazardous Weather Outlook (gHWO) complements the text Hazardous
Weather Outlook (HWO) by providing a graphical depiction of threat
levels for the following hazards: lightning, tornado, wind, hail,
(flash) flood, excessive heat, excessive cold, high wind, dense
fog/smoke, fire weather, rip current, coastal flood, waterspout,
marine wind/sea, and marine thunderstorm gust. The threat impacts are
specific to the WFO county warning area (CWA) and marine area of
responsibility (MAOR), and depict the geographical distribution and
level of threat of each hazard. Gridded Weather Input for Fire Area Simulation Model (FARSITE) FARSITE is a deterministic model developed and used by land management
agencies. FARSITE simulates the spatial and temporal spread and
behavior of fires under conditions of heterogeneous terrain, fuels,
and weather. Required FARSITE weather input consists of maximum and
minimum relative humidity, maximum and minimum temperature, daily
precipitation, wind speed and direction and cloud cover. FARSITE is
an important tool that fire agencies use to help keep firefighters
safe. Pursuant to the NWS mission of saving lives and property,
NOAA/NWS forecasters have been manually supplying FARSITE weather
input to fire managers for a number of years. Hawaiian One-Month and Three-Month Outlooks and Discussion. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues a one-month and a series of
thirteen three-month temperature and precipitation outlooks for
selected cities in Hawaii and an accompanying prognostic discussion. Hazard Grids in the National Digital Forecast Database The NWS provides access to operational and experimental gridded
forecasts of weather elements (e.g., maximum temperature, sky
cover)through the NDFD. The NDFD contains a seamless mosaic of
digital forecasts from NWS field offices working in collaboration
with the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). The
hazard grids are prepared by all Weather Forecast Offices (WFO) and
are available via the NDFD. Hazard grids are valid for more than two
hours. The hazard grids depict all active long duration watch,
warning and advisory hazards issued by NWS WFOs . The hazard grids
include long duration coastal, marine, nonprecipitation, tropical and
winter weather hazards. It also includes convective and some
hydrological watches. It does not include the following short
duration warnings: Tornado Warning, Severe Thunderstorm Warning,
Extreme Wind Warning, Flash Flood Warning, and Special Marine
Warning. It does not include the following Long Duration Watches and
Warnings issued in RiverPro and WarnGen:Flood Watch for forecast
points, Areal Flood Warnings and Flood Warnings for forecast points.
In addition, it initially will not include Gale Warnings, Storm
Warnings and Hurricane Force Wind Warnings issued in the Offshore and
High Seas forecast by OPC and TAFB. The NDFD Hazard grid definition is
defined as,a weather or hydrologic hazardous event issued for the
protection of life and property and the enhancement of the national
economy.
The Hazards grid will be in experimental status in the NWS Alaska
Region until further notice. High Seas Forecast Describes potentially hazardous weather across large areas of the open
ocean. High Surf Advisory Provides notification of potentially life threatening surf conditions HotSeat Warning Simulator HotSeat is a web-based warning simulation tool. It uses archived
WSR-88D data from actual events along with severe weather reports and
damage survey photographs in a displaced real-time (DRT) mode to
approximate the feel of issuing severe weather warnings in the
National Weather Service. Upon completion of each event, the
participant receives a score indicating his/her success in the
simulation. Hours of Sunshine and Percent of Possible Sunshine Products The Hours of Sunshine and Percent of Possible Sunshine Products will
be graphical displays on the Internet of the number of hours of
sunshine expected and the percent of total possible sunshine expected
across the (PDT) County Warning Area (CWA). The products will be
updated with each major Zone Forecast issuance. At 4 AM local Pacific
Time, the forecasts will be for today and tomorrow. At 3 PM local
Pacific Time, the forecasts will be for tomorrow and the day after
tomorrow. Hurricane/Typhoon Local Statement (HLS) This is an update to an existing PDD. The PDD was amended to include
an Overview Block.
The HLS is an alphanumeric product alerting the public of present
and anticipated local tropical cyclone affects. Coastal and selected
inland Weather Forecast Offices issue HLSs when their County Warning
Area and adjacent coastal waters is affected by a tropical cyclone
watch/warning or evacuation orders.
IFPS Digital Forecast Page The IFPS Digital Forecast Page provides an interface for the public to
access weather information from the NWS gridded forecast (IFPS)
database. The gridded forecast is maintained 24/7 by all 24 Western
Region Forecast Offices as part of the national NWS IFPS program. Lightning Potential Index The Lightning Potential Index (LPI) is a web graphic that displays an
index of lightning potential for various parts of the day, with a
second day for planning purposes. This product will be issued
routinely in the morning and updated as necessary. Low Flow Probabilistic forecast Currently the National Weather Service (NWS) River Forecast Centers
(RFCs) and Weather Field Offices (WFOs) produce a wide variety of
river forecasts, which indicate current and future river conditions.
The Low Flow Probabilistic Forecasts prepared by the North Central
River Forecast Center (NCRFC) will be issued as Web page graphics.
The graphics will be for the NCRFCs area of responsibility. They
will be issued once a month (after the Climate Prediction Center
(CPC) outlooks are released at mid-month). They will cover the three
month period after the issuance (for example, graphics released around
May 26 will cover June-August period). Marine Forecast Matrix The National Weather Service (NWS) Marine Forecast Matrix (MFM)
provides a tabular forecast of wind direction and speed, swell
direction and height, wind wave height, significant wave height,
cloud cover, probability of precipitation, and areal precipitation
coverage. Marine Weather Discussion (MWD) Plain language free text discussion of computer model trends which
focuses on expected wind and sea conditions. The MWD is used as a
coordination vehicle among the national centers and coastal Weather
Forecast Offices.
Marine Weather Message The Marine Weather Warning (MWW) product is a text bulletin intended
to better inform mariners of adverse nonprecipitation conditions. It
will also provide consistency of the National Weather Service (NWS)
Coastal Weather Forecasts (CWFs), Great Lakes Open Lakes Forecasts
(GLFs) and Great Lakes near shore forecasts (NSHs) with other NWS
programs (winter weather, hydrologic, nonprecipitation and coastal
hazards). Marine Weather Statement (MWS) Plain language free text discussion of potentially hazardous warning
conditions associated with non-severe thunderstorms and/or
waterspouts issued on an event driven basis from WFOs. The product
is also issued to advise of potential hazardous conditions with wind,
waves, visibility, low water levels, hazardous materials spills,
volcanic ash, and ice. Maximum Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Probability Table The WSP shows the probability that maximum 1-minute wind speed
forecast for the tropical cyclone will be within one of seven
intensity ranges/storm classifications through 72 hours. The maximum
1-minute wind speed forecasts correspond to the wind speed forecasts
in the Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisories (TCM) product. The
probabilities are based on National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecasts
from 1988-1997. NHC issues this experimental product for tropical
cyclones in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins. This
experimental product is also issued for subtropical storms. Meteorological Impact Statement (MIS) The National Weather Service's (NWS) Meteorological Impact Statement
(MIS) is a unscheduled flow control and flight operations planning
forecast. The MIS is valid 2-12 hours after issuance time and
details weather conditions expected to adversely impact Minneapolis TRACON Collaborative Convective Forecast Product The Minneapolis TRACON forecast product/service will be a
collaborative effort by personnel of WFO Minneapolis, CWSU
Minneapolis and initially, Northwest
Airlines to produce a forecast of thunderstorm and/or lightning
activity within a radius of 100 nautical miles of the center of the
Minneapolis airport.
Modeled Soil Saturation Index In meeting its hydrologic forecast responsibilities, the National
Weather Service (NWS) Missouri Basin River Forecast Center (MBRFC)
simulates soil moisture across the Missouri River basin in real-time.
The Modeled Saturation Index (MSI) quantifies the relative degree of
tension water saturation present within the soil column, and is
calculated on a sub-basin level. The primary product is a graphical
display of the MSI across the Missouri River basin.
Soil moisture directly impacts runoff potential, water resource
management, debris flow formation, and agricultural productivity. A
correlation exists between soil moisture and lower level atmospheric
conditions. However, observed real-time soil moisture data is sparse
and difficult to spatially interpolate. The production of the MSI
graphic will enable the user to visualize the real-time relative
degree of tension water saturation present geographically across the
Missouri River basin
MULTI-FORMAT FORECAST INFORMATION WEB PAGE Advances in computer capabilities and web services technologies, as
well as scientific advances in National Weather Service (NWS)
software, have afforded an opportunity for NWS to create
customer-based products and services. MULTI-FORMAT MARINE FORECAST INFORMATION WEB PAGE Advances in computer capabilities and web services technologies, as
well as scientific advances in National Weather Service (NWS)
software, have afforded an opportunity for NWS to create
customer-based marine products and services. Information
dissemination via the World Wide Web (www) allows customers to obtain
higher resolution marine forecast information in a variety of formats
on demand. Multimedia Weather Briefing The Multimedia Weather Briefing is an Internet-accessible multimedia
file that provides information concerning hazardous weather events
within the service area of a Southern Region office. The briefing
provides a medium for supporting the planning activities of emergency
response partners and customers by conveying (both aurally and
visually, in non-technical terms) the forecaster's reasoning and
confidence concerning upcoming hazardous weather events. National Air Quality forecast System (AQFS) Ozone (03) forecast A web-based presentation of gridded forecast O3 guidance originating
from the Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) of the National
Environmental Prediction (NCEP). The ozone data is displayed for a
domain covering the northeast US for 1-hour and 8-hour averages. National Air Quality Forecast System (AQFS) Smoke Forecast Graphic Display The National Weather Service?s National Air Quality Forecast System
(AQFS) Wildland Fire Smoke Forecast (WFSF) Experimental Graphic
Display is a web-based presentation of gridded forecast smoke
dispersion guidance produced by NOAA's Air Resources Laboratory and
Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) of the National Environmental
Prediction (NCEP)and using the HYSPLIT dispersion model. The
dispersion model is preconfigured to run over the entire country
once-a-day using the 0600 UTC NAM meteorological forecast. Hourly
average output maps of primary PM2.5 air concentration are produced
using the actual fire locations from the previous day obtained from
NOAA?s NESDIS Hazard Mapping System. The dispersion simulation
consists of two parts: 1) a 24 h analysis simulation run for the
previous day, and 2) a 48 h forecast simulation, which assumes that
yesterday's fires will continue to burn for the next two days. The
smoke particle positions at the end of each analysis period are used
to initialize the next day's analysis simulation. National Convective Weather Forecast The National Convective Weather Forecast (NCWF) is an automatically
generated convective product that provides current convective hazards
and 1 hour extrapolation forecasts of thunderstorm hazard locations. National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Climate Outlook Probability Elements The National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) contains a seamless
mosaic of digital weather forecasts from National Weather Service
(NWS) field offices and the National Centers for Environmental
Prediction (NCEP). The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is the NWS
center of expertise for climate outlooks covering valid periods of
one week, one month, and three-months, with lead times (i.e. advance
issuance before the beginning of the valid period) from a zero lead
to 12.5 months of lead time.
The following Climate Outlooks by the CPC are available in the NDFD
in operational status. The outlooks are probabilistic (expressed in
percent).
Probability of 8- to 14-Day Average Temperature Above Normal
Probability of 8- to 14-Day Average Temperature Below Normal
Probability of 8- to 14-Day Total Precipitation Above Median
Probability of 8- to 14-Day Total Precipitation Below Median
Probability of One-month Average Temperature Above Normal
Probability of One-month Average Temperature Below Normal
Probability of One-month Total Precipitation Above Median
Probability of One-month Total Precipitation Below Median
Probability of Three-month Average Temperature Above Normal
Probability of Three-month Average Temperature Below Normal
Probability of Three-month Total Precipitation Above Median
Probability of Three-month Total Precipitation Below Median
All of these elements are available for the contiguous U.S. (CONUS),
the 16 pre-defined NDFD CONUS subsectors and Alaska.
These probabilistic outlooks pertain to the average temperature and
total precipitation for the entire valid period and not to the
variability within it; these outlooks will not help people planning
events for specific dates or sub-periods. National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Convective Outlook Hazard Probability Elements As of April 30, 2009, the following Convective Outlook Hazard
Probability elements prepared by the SPC are now available in the
NDFD in operational status
Categorical Convective Outlook for today (Day 1), tomorrow (Day 2),
and the day following (Day 3)
Probability of Tornadoes (Day 1)
Probability of Hail (Day 1)
Probability of Damaging Thunderstorm Winds (Day 1)
Probability of Extreme Tornadoes (Day 1)
Probability of Extreme Hail (Day 1)
Probability of Extreme Thunderstorm Winds (Day 1)
Total Probability of Severe Thunderstorms (Day 2 and Day 3)
Total Probability of Extreme Severe Thunderstorms (Day 2 and Day 3)
All of these elements are currently only available for the contiguous
U.S. (CONUS) and the 16 pre-defined NDFD CONUS subsectors.
The Convective Outlook Probabilities are issued for a convective day
from 12 UTC to 12 UTC. Day 1 Outlooks are valid from 12 UTC on Day 1
(or, if issued after 12 UTC from the issuance time) to 12 UTC on Day
2. The Day 2 products are valid from 12 UTC on Day 2 to 12 UTC on Day
3. The Day 3 products are valid from 12 UTC on Day 3 to 12 UTC on
Day 4.
The Categorical Convective Outlook elements specify the perceived
level of threat via the descriptive wording Slight, Moderate, and
High Risk. However, these outlooks, do not
display the forecaster’s expectations of the individual severe
weather hazards (large hail,damaging winds, and tornadoes)
The individual probabilistic elements further express forecaster
uncertainty of the individual severe weather hazards through the use
of probabilities (i.e., percent likelihood of occurrence). In the Day
1 period, forecaster expectations of large hail, damaging winds, and
tornadoes are explicitly conveyed in separate forecasts. By producing
forecasts of each hazard individually, users who are sensitive to one
particular threat (e.g., car dealers and large hail) can make more
informed decisions.
National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Day 4 to 8 Convective Outlook Elements The NWS provides access to operational and experimental gridded
forecasts of weather elements (e.g., maximum temperature, sky cover)
through the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD). The NDFD
contains a seamless mosaic of digital forecasts from NWS field
offices and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP).
NCEP's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) operationally produces detailed
outlooks and probability products for severe convective weather for
Days 1, 2,
and 3, and a more general Day 4 to 8 convective outlook (available as
text and graphic products at
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/). This element is a
forecast
for organized severe thunderstorms over the contiguous United States.
A severe weather area depicted in the day 4 to 8 period indicates a
30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of
any point National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Graphic Forecast Displays The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National
Weather Service (NWS) National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD)
Graphic Forecast Displays
(http://weather.gov/forecasts/graphical/sectors/index.php) are
web-based presentations of digital forecast data originating from
local Weather Forecast Office (WFO) digital databases and the NDFD
server. The data are displayed in a mosaic form on national and
regional scales. Local scale products are not covered under this
Product Description Document (PDD). For more information on the
NDFD, please refer to the NDFD Information web site at the following
URL: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ndfd/index.htm. National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Gridded Data Under statute, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
(NOAA) National Weather Service (NWS) is charged to collect data on
climate, water, and weather, provide forecasts and warnings of severe
weather in order to protect life and property, and create and
disseminate forecasts and other weather information for the benefit
of a wide range of weather sensitive businesses and activities.
By capitalizing on rapid advances in science and technology and
infusing these advances into its operations, the NWS has taken steps
to proactively respond to ever changing and growing demands of its
customers and partners. The 2003 Fair Weather report, produced by
the National Research Council, recommended making NWS data and
products available in an Internet accessible digital form. The
specific recommendation is as follows: ?Information held in digital
databases should be based on widely recognized standards, formats,
and metadata descriptions to ensure that data from different
observing platforms, databases, and models can be integrated and used
by all interested parties in the weather and climate enterprise.? The
Internet is now a principal means of communicating NWS forecasts.
National Digital Forecast Database Extensible Markup Language National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) Extensible Markup Language
(XML) is a service providing the public, government agencies, and
commercial enterprises with user selected components for point
locations of the National Weather Service?s (NWS) data embedded in
XML elements.
NDFD XML provides users the ability, using a machine-to-machine
paradigm, to retrieve the XML-wrapped data via the Internet. This
web service is provided using the SOAP protocol.... National Digital Forecast Database User Defined GRIB2 files Gridded forecasts requested by a user from the National Digital
Forecast Database (NDFD) are encoded into GRIB2 and transmitted to
that user via the World Wide Web (WWW). A user can be any member of
the public, a government agency, or a commercial enterprise. The
user chooses one of the weather elements that is available in the
NDFD and specifies the bounding latitudes and longitudes of the grid
that will be transmitted via a Web CGI interface. GRIB2 is data
encoding standard described by the World Meteorological Organization
in its document FM92 GRIB, Edition 2, Code Form and Tables.... National Drought Summary NOAA's Climate Prediction Center and National Climatic Data center
(NCDC), the U.S. Department of Agriculture, and the National Drought
Mitigation Center (NDMC) jointly issues this narrative summarizing
drought conditions with a look ahead. NATIONAL MULTI-SENSOR PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES WEB-BASED SERVICE These Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) Graphics are
representations of rainfall that has occurred for a specific length
of time. Currently, each RFC prepares its QPE graphics using
different colors, precipitation thresholds, and geographic
projections. By producing these graphics centrally, it will enable
the public to compare data across the CONUS and Puerto Rico.
Parameter-Elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM)
climate data from a cooperative venture between Oregon State
University and the United States Department of Agriculture-Natural
Resources Conservation Service provides a grid format of normal
precipitation.
National Snow Analysis The National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center (NOHRSC) is
a branch in the Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services in the
National Weather Services (NWS) and is collocated with the NWS North
Central River Forecast Center and the Weather Forecast Office in
Chanhassen, Minnesota. The NOHRSC produces a daily National Snow
Analysis (NSA) and distributes a variety of snow summaries and data
sets derived from both observed and modeled hydrometeorological data.
The NOHRSC NSA provides daily, comprehensive snow information for the
coterminous U.S. and is accessed at: www.nohrsc.nws.gov. The NSA is
based on modeled snowpack characteristics that are updated using all
operationally available ground-based, airborne, and satellite
observations of snow water equivalent, snow depth, and snow cover.... NAVTEX Forecast The NAVigational TEXt (NAVTEX) product is issued exclusively for the
U.S. Coast Guard NAVTEX radio-teletype transmitters and receipt of
those mariners equipped with NAVTEX receivers. The product contains
marine forecasts and warnings.
NDFD CLIMATE NDFD Climate is a computer application that creates images of forecast
and climatological parameters for the continental U.S. from two
different digital data sets. The first data set is the NDFD
(National Digital Forecast Database) weather forecast grids produced
by the NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) and the second data set is
PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model),
an expert system that uses point climatological temperature data and
a digital elevation model (DEM) to generate gridded estimates of
climate parameters. The NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) contains digital forecast grids of
sensible weather elements such as temperature, wind, and
precipitation in a mosaic from collaborating field offices across the
U.S. for forecasts out to seven days. Daily digital climatology grids
of maximum and minimum temperature are created using
Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM;
Daly et al. 1994) method. NDFDClimate grids produced include: PRISM
derived normal daily maximum and minimum temperatures, NDFD derived
forecasted heating and cooling degree days through day 6, NDFD
forecasted daily minimum and maximum temperature anomalies derived
from PRISM daily climate fields through day six, NDFD derived five
day total of forecast heating and cooling degree days, NDFD 60 hour
total of liquid equivalent QPF, NDFD forecasted number of hours the
temperature is above or below a defined temperature through day
three, NDFD forecasted 24- and 48-hour forecast temperature changes
from forecast issue time. NDFD Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) for Hawaii On November 1, 2006, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) National Weather Service (NWS) will introduce
Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) for Hawaii to the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) as an experimental element. QPF is
already available in NDFD on an experimental basis for the
conterminous U.S. (CONUS), the 16 pre-defined NDFD CONUS subsectors,
Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Nearshore Forecast (NSH) The NSH describes forecast conditions including any event-driven
marine hazards occurring or expected to occur over the Great Lakes
nearshore waters for a 48 hour forecast period.
Nephanalysis A graphical product routinely prepared for the Central and Eastern
Pacific Ocean Basin that provides a depiction of significant cloud
features, a description of the cloud types, and their areal
coverage.
NOAA Weather Radio Podcasts The NWS is responsible for making its weather, water and climate
information widely available to taxpayers using commonly accepted
standards and technologies. Currently, the NWS provides only limited
audio broadcasts of their NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards (NWR) via the
Internet.
The Voice Improvement Program (VIP) software on the NWR is able to
convert the text transmitted to the Console Replacement System (CRS)
into MPEG audio Layer-3 (MP3) files. Southern Region NWS offices are
making these MP3 files available on the Internet as podcasts.
Podcasting allows for publishing of audio programs to the internet
and subsequent downloading of these programs to a personal computer
or MP3 device. Users subscribe to the NWR podcast by using a freely
available podcasting application that downloads the MP3 file
automatically using an RSS (Really Simple Syndication) feed.
Podcasting applications typically check for new content (new MP3
files) at user defined intervals. Once downloaded, the user can then
listen to the podcast at his/her leisure (versus a radio broadcast of
NWR).
Non Technical Format of the Winter Low Tracks Graphic The National Weather Service (NWS) National Centers for Environmental
Prediction (NCEP) Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (HPC) Winter
Weather Desk (WWD) issues a forecast of significant surface low
positions twice daily. This graphic is known as the Winter Low
Tracks Graphic. The Winter Low Tracks Graphic depicts over the
contiguous U.S. (CONUS) the HPC forecast position of significant
surface lows in 12 hour increments out to 72 hours. Uncertainty in
the HPC forecast low position is depicted by including the forecast
low position from model guidance available to the HPC forecaster NWS Current Observations Using RSS and XML Based Formats Provide current observations in two Internet based formats. Each
format provides a channel for users to quickly access specific
products. Products are organized by ASOS station ID. Two data
exchange formats using Extensible Markup Language (XML) are provided
for customers and partners who wish either display selected parts of
the products or provide a display of the products to other
customers.
The product homepage can be accessed at:
http://weather.gov/data/current_obs/
NWS Warnings Using Geographic Information Systems NWS-issued short-fused warnings are added to a real-time database and
Geographic Information System (GIS) shapefiles are generated from
this database. In addition, an updated graphic is displayed that
displays the current status of warnings. NWS web services via wireless technologies NWS is responsible to make its weather, water and climate information
widely availableto taxpayers using commonly accepted standards and
technologies. One of the most widely accepted, available and cost
effective means of accomplishing this objective is
the use of web services via the internet, and NWS has implemented a
corporate-wide HTTP-based web service. This service has allowed users
instant access to current NWS information via industry standard web
browsers and internet connections. A rapidly evolving technology in
the United States today is the ability to access internet content via
wireless devices such as Personal Digital Assistants (PDA) and cell
phones.
Offshore Waters Forecast An alphanumeric product routinely prepared for the Offshore Marine
Zones in the Atlantic and Pacific Ocean Basins that provides
forecasts of wind, waves, visibility, icing, and significant weather
out to the five day forecast period.
One-Month Climate Outlook (Contiguous U.S. and Alaska). The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues a probabilistic one-month
temperature and precipitation outlook. (Revised - Version 3) One-Month Outlook Discussion (Contiguous U.S. and Alaska). A technical discussion of the meteorological and climatological basis
for the one-month outlooks. (Revised - Version 3) Open Lakes Forecast An alphanumeric product prepared by NWS Offices with Marine
responsibility over the Great Lakes. This is a routinely issued
product that describes forecast conditions and event-driven marine
hazards expected over the five day forecast period. A coded fo Operational Day 5 Tropical Cyclone Forecast The approval of this PDD authorizes the public dissemination of an
operational Day 5 tropical cyclone forecast. Two products will
require modification if Day 5 forecasts are approved: Palmer Drought Severity Index. The Climate Prediction Center?s (CPC) and U.S. Department of
Agriculture?s Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF) produces the
Palmer Drought Severity Index chart. The index indicates long term
conditions. PHX Drought Data Page The PHX Drought Data Page was developed in response to a request from
the Arizona Governors Drought Task Force. The product provides a
single web based interface for users to more easily access
precipitation data from the state for purposes of "decision making"
as related to the ongoing drought in Arizona. Post Tropical Cyclone Report (PSH) The PSH is an alphanumeric product summarizing the meteorological
parameters observed within a Weather Forecast Offices County Warning
Area after a tropical cyclone event. Precipitation Frequency Data Server NWS precipitation frequency estimates have traditionally been
delivered in the form of Weather Bureau Technical Papers and
Memoranda as well as NOAA Atlases, all hard copy documents. With the
advent of the World Wide Web, these documents have been scanned and
made available via web pages. The National Weather Service
specifically developed the Precipitation Frequency Data Server as the
primary web portal to precipitation frequency estimates and associated
information (Parzybok and Yekta, 2003). Recent updates to NWS
precipitation frequency are being delivered entirely in digital
rather than hard copy form in order to make the estimates more widely
available to the public and to provide the data in a broader and more
accessible range of formats. Precipitation Potential Index The Precipitation Potential Index will display graphically on the
internet. The graphic is a means to show forecaster confidence as to
the location of precipitation at each hour across the CWA. It is
intended to supplement the 12 hour POP and weather grids. Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts NOAA's Strategic Plan states that we are to "Improve the reliability,
lead-time, and effectiveness of weather and water information and
services that predict changes in environmental conditions." To
support that effort, The National Weather Service Strategic Plan for
2005 to 2010: Working Together to Save Lives, establishes a mission
goal to develop new capabilities and move into a new direction of
forecasts... and expand beyond traditional weather and water
products.
In response to the NOAA and NWS goals, the Weather Forecast Office in
Tulsa, Oklahoma (TSA) has developed a method to provide probabilistic
quantitative precipitation forecasts on a routine basis, in the form
of probability of exceedance (POE) forecasts. This method will be
used at several Weather Service Forecast Offices (WFOs) in the
Southern Region. These POEs will provide our clients and customers
with more detailed precipitation forecasts that they can use in their
decision-making processes.
Probability of Exceedence Outlook for Center Probability Distribution (50 percent) The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues a series of thirteen
three-month graphical outlooks for the 50 percent probability of
exceedence (or center probability distribution) for temperature and
precipitation across the contiguous U.S. Probability of Freezing Temperatures The Probability of Freezing Temperatures product will be a graphical
display on the internet of the probability (in percent) that
overnight low temperatures will fall to freezing or below across the
(PDT) County Warning Area (CWA) for the ?tonight? and ?tomorrow
night? time periods. It will be updated as necessary, but at a
minimum with each major Zone Forecast issuance at 3 pm and 4 am local
Pacific time. The product will be issued seasonally in the fall from
September 15th until November 30th and in the Spring from March 15th
until May 31st. Probability of Meeting or Exceeding Specific Temperature Thresholds The Probability of Meeting or Exceeding Specific Temperature
Thresholds (e.g. Freezing or 100 degrees) is a graphical display on
the Internet of the probability (in percent) that temperatures will
either rise above or fall below the desired threshold in a given
county Warning Area (CWA) for the Day 1 and Day 2 forecast time
periods. It will be updated as necessary, but will be issued at a
minimum with each major Zone Forecast package at 3 pm and 4 am local
Pacific time. Real Time US Total Electron Content Vertical and Slant The US Total Electron Content (US-TEC) product is designed to specify
TEC over the Continental US (CONUS) in near real time. The product
uses a Kalman Filter data assimilation technique driven by data from
ground-based Global Positioning System (GPS) dual frequency
receivers. The primary data stream comes from the Maritime and
Nationwide Differential GPS (M/NDGPS) real time network of stations
operated by the US Coast Guard (USCG). As of Oct 2004 there were
about 60 M/NDGPS stations ingested into the model. This number has
been gradually increasing and will be augmented by Federal Aviation
Administration/Wide Area Augmentation System (FAA/WAAS) data, and
stations operated by the Forecast System Laboratory (FSL). This
product has evolved from collaboration among Space Environment Center
(SEC), National Geodetic Survey (NGS), National Geophysical Data
Center (NGDC), and FSL. Red Flag Potential Index The Red Flag Potential Index (RFPI) is a graphical product produced by
forecasters at WFO Las Vegas (VEF) using GFE/IFPS. Ratings of Red
Flag potential (numbers 1 through 4) for the next three days (today,
tomorrow and the next day) are calculated using forecasts of relative
humidity and prevailing 20-ft, 10-minute average surface wind, along
with forecaster knowledge of other factors such as critical fire
conditions and the existence of active wildfires. The RFPI is
intended to be used as general guidance, primarily for planning
purposes. Since the southern half of our forecast area operates an
aggressive, proactive prescribed burn program, this product will be
issued year-round.
Regional Flash Flood Guidance Graphics Flash Flood Guidance (FFG) is the amount of rainfall in a given time
period that will produce flooding on small streams. FFG is
distributed via AWIPS in text products and lists FFG values for 1-,
3-, 6-, 12-, and 24-hour time periods for each county. The
experimental Regional FFG Graphics are Internet web pages that show
these FFG values in both graphical and tabular form. These graphic
products are for the entire Southern Region (SR) area, the area of
responsibility of each SR River Forecast Center (RFC), and each state
in SR. In addition to having a state graphic for Texas, graphics of
FFG for north, south, and west Texas are available. Regional/Local Seasonal Forecast Regional/Local Seasonal Forecasts may be textual or graphical. They
typically consist of short-term climate variability forecasts and
monitoring data, and meteorological/hydrological interpretation and
assessment of societal impact on a web page. These web pages will
normally provide educational material to help users understand the
forecast methodology and reliability to better aid preparedness and
mitigation efforts. The web page will typically assimilate a wide
variety of information on short-term climate variability for the
forecast area such as links to official NOAA/NWS forecasts and
experimental, locally/regionally produced graphical/textual
monitoring products. The area covered by the forecast may be a
commonly accepted political or geographical location such as a state,
county or region, or it may be a uniquely defined in which case the
area will be made explicitly clear on a map on the web page.
An example of such a seasonal forecast product suite is the "Florida
EL Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Home Page Featuring:
2002-2003 Experimental Dry Season Forecast for Florida (Valid for
period November 1st 2002 through April 30th 2003)" produced by WFO
Melbourne, Florida and available on the Internet at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/enso/mlbnino.html RIDGE ? Radar Integrated Display with Geospatial Elements (National) NWS is responsible to make its weather, water and climate information
widely available to taxpayers using commonly accepted standards and
technologies. Currently, the NWS provides weather radar information
for all Weather Service Doppler Radars (WSR 88-D) in the United
States on the NWS Internet page.
The National Weather Service Southern Region, working in cooperation
with North Central Texas Council of Governments, has developed a
method to display radar images more efficiently than the previous
method. These radar images, call RIDGE (Radar Integrated Display
with Geospatial Elements), allows the radar image to be combined with
geospatial elements such as topography maps, highways, and county
boundaries. This not only produces a better image, but provides
additional reference information for users to understand where they
are located. RIDGE also adds the ability to overlay polygon warnings
issued by the National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
Rip Current Probability Graphical The National Weather Services (NWS) Rip Current Probability Graphical
product provides a graphical representation of the probabilities of
rip currents along area beaches from Pender County, NC south to
Georgetown County, SC. This product is issued twice a day. Route Forecast The Route Forecast (ROFOR) is an alphanumeric product providing a
coded route forecast for regularly scheduled flights or upon request
for flights that either begin or end in or that have most of the
flight path within the National Weather Service's Pac Sacramento WRF NMM Model Output The Sacramento WRF_NMM is run locally at the WFO Sacramento and gives
hourly output out to 48 hours. The high resolution model is used for
operational forecasting and research in Northern California. Model
Output graphics, generated by GEMPAK software, are posted for 3
hourly forecast time steps to the WFO Sacramento web page. The
fields include geopotential heights, vorticity, temperatures, dew
point, relative humidity, wind, vertical velocity, freezing level,
precipitation amount and type, sea level pressure, thickness, clouds,
precipitable water, convective available potential energy (CAPE), and
convective inhibition (CIN). The model would replace existing
Workstation Eta output on the website. Satellite Interpretation Message SIM is an alphanumeric product providing an interpretation of synoptic
weather features, significant weather areas, and various cloud and
weather phenomena based upon satellite imagery (visual, infrared,
water vapor, etc.). National Weather Service's Pacific Region's
Weather Forecast Office (WFO) Honolulu prepares the SIM for a portion
of their area of responsibility (AOR). The AORs for WFOs Honolulu
vary and depend upon the program (tropical cyclone, aviation, marine,
public, and satellite). Sea Ice Advisory Provides analysis, forecast, and climatological information pertaining
to sea ice in the waters surrounding Alaska.
Sea Ice Analysis Sea ice conditions for the waters surrounding Alaska
Sea State Analysis A graphical product depicting sea state conditions over the North
Atlantic and Pacific Ocean Basins. Features such as the location of
the ice edge and the isopleths for wave heights and arrows for swell
direction are depicted. Sierra Backcountry Forecast The Sierra Backcountry Forecast is a web based text product produced
by forecasters in support of the Sierra Avalanche Center and the
Central Sierra Avalanche Center. The product provides forecasted
parameters critical to accurately forecasting avalanche conditions by
the Sierra Avalanche Centers. The elements forecasted include
temperatures, winds, and sky/weather, all of which affect the
stability of the snowpack, changes in the snowpack structure, and
ultimately avalanche potential. Significant Meteorological Information (SIGMET) SIGMETs are concise, brief descriptions of the development and
occurrence or expected occurrence in time and space of specified
en-route weather phenomena which may affect the safety of all
aircraft operations. Space Weather for Aviation Service Providers The Space Environment Center (SEC) Space Weather for Aviation Service
Providers web page combines graph and text presentations of near
real-time solar and geophysical parameters of interest to the
aviation industry. This page incorporates products and models which
are driven by data and imagery from ground-based and space-based
observations. The Space Weather for Aviation Service Providers web
page displays retrieved and reformatted existing SEC products. Special Marine Warning An alphanumeric product issued from all WFOs with Marine
responsibility. The product is issued to provide notification of
short duration marine hazards such as waterspouts, thunderstorms, or
hail. Standardized WFO, Regional, and National Climate Web Pages Once implemented, this standardization of climate information
(regarding what type is provided and where it?s located on NWS Web
pages) will enable our users to consistently find climate data no
matter which NWS level (WFO, regional, or national) they access via
the Web. Storm Prediction Center Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Guidance This Product Description Document concerns SPC issuance of Day 3-8
fire weather outlooks to provide national guidance on a critical
public safety issue for media, emergency managers, local National
Weather Service Forecast Offices and ultimately the United States
public. This product will help its customers to adequately prepare
several days in advance for the potential of significant fire weather
conditions. This product enhancement is aligned with the NOAA
Strategic Objective for FY2005-2010 to ?Improve predictability of the
onset, duration and impact of hazardous severe weather and water
events? and its experimental initiation was part of the 2005 NWS
Service Improvement Plan. Surf Zone Forecast An alphanumeric product issued from selected WFOs with coastal waters
marine responsibility. The product provides information on surf,
water, any potential marine hazards such as rip currents, and the
general weather conditions within the surf zone. Surface Analysis A graphical product depicting of significant surface features over the
Atlantic and Pacific Ocean Basins north of 15 degrees north. Features
such as the location of high and low pressure systems, frontal
positions, and the analyzed locations of any existing Tropical
Cyclones are included. Surface Temperature Analysis and Anomaly The Sea Surface Temperature Analysis (SST) and Sea Surface Temperature
Anomalies (SSTA)are graphical products depicting sea surface water
temperatures and departure from normal.
WFO Honolulu produces the SST for the North Pacific (area bounded by
equator to 55N and 110W to 160E) and the National Centers for
Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Environmental
Modeling Center (EMC) produces the SST for both the Atlantic and
Eastern Pacific(area bounded by 10S to 50N and 0 to 180 longitude)
and the SSTA product for the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific (area
bounded by 10S to 50N and 0 W to 180 W longitude). Tabular Product Evolution in eXtensible Markup Language - Derived Selected Cities Summary Products TPEX-derived Selected Cities Summary (SCS) products are created from
three eXtensible Markup Language (XML) products:
ObX - hourly observations
FOX3 - highly summarized 3 day forecasts
TEX - observed National high/low temperatures
The TPEX-derived SCS products are created using an eXtensible
Stylesheet Language Transformation (XSLT) style sheet and mimic the
legacy SCS products
Tabular Product Evolution in eXtensible Markup Language Products Four eXtensible Markup Language (XML) products have been created
using the forecast information contained in the National Digital
Forecast Database (NDFD) for those cities currently contained in the
Selected Cities Summary (SCS):
ObX - hourly observations
FOX3 - highly summarized 3 day forecasts
FOX7 -highly summarized 7 day forecasts
TEX - observed National high/low temperatures
These products can be used as is, or user defined format products
(text, HTML, etc.) can be created using eXtensible Stylesheet
Language Transformation (XSLT) style sheets. We hope our users and
partners will migrate away from legacy text products (e.g., SCS,
etc.) to the new XML products.
Tactical Convective Hazard Product (TCHP) The TCHP provides a graphical presentation of thunderstorm hazards to
aviation operations. It depicts current hazardous thunderstorms and
a one-hour forecast of hazardous thunderstorm locations. The TCHP
updates automatically every 5 minutes. The product is created from
radar and lightning data as well as human-generated Convective SIGMET
in-flight advisories (SIGMETs updated hourly). Tactical Decision Aid The Tactical Decision Aid (TDA) web page for the Terminal Radar
Approach Controller (TRACON) highlights forecasts of thunderstorm
potential for the TRACON?s aircraft arrival corner posts. These
forecasts will be updated hourly during periods of convective weather
(occurring or forecast) and every four hours during periods of no
convective weather. Forecasts will cover a 4 hour time frame.
Forecast output will be a color-coded, bar graph indicating the
hourly probability of thunderstorm activity at each corner post
during the upcoming 4 hour period. TAFB Marine Weather Discussion (MIM) Plain language free text discussion of computer model trends which
focuses on expected wind and sea conditions. The product is used as
a coordination vehicle among the national centers and coastal Weather
Forecast Offices. Take Off Forecast Product The Take Off Forecast is a text product produced by an automated
program that is then edited and/or augmented by Forecasters or
Hydro-Meteorological Technicians (HMTs). The automated program uses
FRH model data output for pressure, the Terminal Aerodrome Forecast
(TAF) for winds, and the Aviation Model Output Statistics (MAV) for
temps and comes up in an editable display with the last 6 hours of
obs displayed. The forecast includes an hour by hour prediction of
the winds, temps, altimeter setting, and, sometimes, a forecast of
wet or dry runway conditions expected on the airport within a 6 hour
period from the time of issuance. Forecasts are updated every 6
hours. Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) The TAF is an operational forecast consisting of the expected
meteorological conditions significant to a given airport or terminal.
TAFs always include a forecast of surface wind speed and direction,
visibility, and clouds. Three-Month Climate Outlooks (Contiguous U.S. and Alaska). The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues a series of thirteen
probabilistic three-month temperature and precipitation outlooks. Three-Month Outlooks Discussion (Contiguous U.S. and Alaska). The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) provides a technical discussion of
the meteorological and climatological basis for the outlooks. Three-month Probability of Exceedence Outlooks The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues a series of thirteen
three-month probability of exceedence outlooks for temperature,
precipitation, and heating and cooling degree days for the
conterminous U.S. Tropical Cyclone Advisory Message The Tropical Cyclone Advisory message (TCA) is an abbreviated
alphanumeric text product which the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) issue. Tropical Cyclone Cumulative Wind Distribution (CWD) Graphic The CWD graphic is issued by the National Hurricane Center. It
summarizes how the size of a storm has changed, and the areas
potentially affected by sustained winds of tropical storm force (in
orange) and hurricane force (in red) for tropical cyclones in the
Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins. This product is also issued for
subtropical storms. Tropical Cyclone Danger Area The Tropical Cyclone Danger Area is a graphical marine product
depicting a tropical cyclone's track (out to 72 hours) and shades in
a danger area determined by adding 100, 200, and 300 nautical miles
plus the 34 knot wind radii to the 24-, 48-, and 72- hour forecast
position respectively in the Atlantic and east Pacific. For the
central Pacific the shaded danger area will varying in width
dependent upon the hurricane specialists confidence in the track and
the length of the 34 knot wind radii. In addition, areas of possible
tropical cyclone genesis (out to 36 hours) are included and depicted
as either a circular, rectangle, oval, or polygon shaped area. The
product is prepared by the TPC and covers the entire Atlantic north
of the equator and the Pacific north of the equator from the Mexican
and Central America coast west to 140 west. CPHC prepares a
separate chart for 140 west to the International Dateline north of
the equator.
Tropical Cyclone Discussion (TCD) The TCD is a text product prepared by the National Hurricane Center
(NHC) and Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) for tropical
cyclones in their respective basin of responsibility. The TCD
provides forecasters' reasoning behind the analysis and forecast of a
tropical cyclone. Discussions include prognostic reasoning; objective
techniques employed; NHC, CPHC, and Hydrometeorological Prediction
Center guidance used; coordinated 12-, 24-, 36-, 48-, 72-, 96-, and
120-hour tropical cyclone forecast positions and maximum sustained
wind speed forecasts; other meteorological decisions; and plans for
watches and warnings. This product is also issued for subtropical
storms.
Tropical Cyclone Forecast Advisories (TCM) The is a text product prepared by the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) for tropical cyclones
in their respective basin of responsibility. TCMs are issued for the
Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins by the NHC. TCMs are issued for
the central Pacific by the CPHC. The product title depends on the
intensity of the tropical cyclone, to include: Tropical Depression
Advisory, Tropical Storm Advisory, Hurricane/Typhoon Advisory. This
product is also issued for subtropical storms.
Tropical Cyclone Position Estimate (TCE) The Tropical Cyclone Position Estimate (TCE) is an event-driven
(non-routinely issued) alphanumeric product comprised of information
concerning the location of the center of a tropical cyclone as
determined by land-based radar fixes. The National Hurricane Center
(NHC), the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC), and the Weather
Forecast Office (WFO) Guam prepare TCEs on an event-driven basis for
tropical cyclone activity within the effective range of land base
radars. NHC issues TCEs for tropical cyclone activity in the
Atlantic and eastern north Pacific (north of the equator and east of
140 degrees west longitude) basins. CPHC issues TCEs for tropical
cyclone activity in the central North Pacific (north of the equator
between 140W and 180W longitude) basin and WFO Guam for the northwest
Pacific (U.S. territories or the Republic of Palau, Federated States
of Micronesia, and Republic of the Marshall Islands north of the
equator and from 130W - 180W longitude).
Tropical Cyclone Public Advisories (TCP) The TCP is a text product prepared by the National Hurricane Center
(NHC), Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC), and Weather Forecast
Office (WFO) Guam, for tropical cyclones in their respective basin of
responsibility. In the Atlantic and central Pacific TCPs are issued
for all tropical cyclones by NHC and CPHC, respectively. In the
eastern Pacific, NHC issues TCPs when watches or warnings are
required, or if the tropical cyclone is expected to impact nearby
land areas. In the western Pacific WFO Guam issues TCPs for all
tropical cyclones expected to affect land within 48 hours. The
product title depends on the intensity of the tropical cyclone, to
include: Tropical Depression Advisory, Tropical Storm Advisory,
Hurricane/Typhoon Advisory. This product is also issued for
subtropical storms. Tropical Cyclone Report (TCR) The Tropical Cyclone Report (TCR) is a post-event overview of a
tropical cyclone comprised of a narrative describing the overall
storm and a detailed listing of 6-hourly location and intensity data
in both text and graphic format. The National Hurricane Center (NHC)
and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) prepare TCRs within 90
days of any tropical cyclone that occurs within their respective Area
of Responsibility (AOR). NHC issues TCRs for tropical cyclone
activity in the Atlantic and eastern north Pacific (north of the
equator and east of 140 degrees west longitude) basins. CPHC issues
TCRs for tropical cyclone activity in the central North Pacific
(north of the equator between 140W and 180 degrees west longitude)
basin.
Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Probabilities The product consists of a graphic and GRIB2 data for creating the
graphic for the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic coastal areas of the
continental United States. The graphic shows probabilities, in
percent, of storm surge exceeding
2 feet through 25 feet, at 1 foot intervals (e.g., the probabilities
in percent, of storm surge exceeding 2 feet, 3 feet, 4 feet, …, 25
feet). This storm surge graphic is based upon an ensemble of Sea,
Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model runs using the
National Hurricane Center (NHC) official advisory and accounts for
track, size, and intensity errors based on historical errors.
Tropical Cyclone Summary-Fixes (TCS) The TCS is an alphanumeric product which the Central Pacific Hurricane
Center (CPHC) provides when there is a classifiable (using the Dvorak
technique) tropical cyclone activity in the north central or south
Pacific. The TCS is a satellite-based estimate of tropical cyclone
location, movement, and intensity with a brief remarks section.
Pacific Region's CPHC prepares TCS for a portion of their area of
responsibility (AOR). The AORs for CPHC/Weather Forecast Office
(WFO) Honolulu (CPHC is collocated with the Weather Forecast Office
Honolulu) varies depending upon the program (tropical cyclone,
aviation, marine, public, and satellite). For TCS program, CPHC's
AOR is the area north of the equator between 140W - 180 longitude and
from the equator to 25 S latitude between 120W to 160E.
Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Speed Probabilities - Graphical The Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Speed Probabilities product displays
probabilities in percent of sustained wind speeds equal to or
exceeding 34-, 50-, and 64-knot wind speed thresholds. These wind
speed probabilities are based on the track, intensity, and wind
structure uncertainties in the official forecasts from the National
Hurricane Center, Central Pacific Hurricane Center, and the Joint
Typhoon Warning Center. Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Speed Probabilities - Text The Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Speed Probabilities text product
contains two parts. The first part, called Maximum Wind Speed
(Intensity) Probability Table, provides over a five day period what
the probabilities are for the maximum sustained (1-minute average)
wind speed of a tropical cyclone for various intensity categories. A
second part, called Wind Speed Probability Table for Specific
Locations, provides probabilities, in percent, of sustained wind
speeds equal to or exceeding 34-, 50-, and 64-knot wind speed
thresholds. These wind speed probabilities are based on the track,
intensity, and wind structure uncertainties during recent years in
the official forecasts from the National Hurricane Center and the
Central Pacific Hurricane Center and are computed for coastal and
inland cities as well as offshore locations (e.g., buoys). Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Speed Probabilities in NDFD The NWS provides access to operational and experimental gridded
forecasts of weather elements (e.g., maximum temperature, sky cover)
through the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD). The NDFD
contains a seamless mosaic of digital forecasts from NWS field
offices working in collaboration with the National Centers for
Environmental Prediction (NCEP). The Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind
Speed Probabilities (TCSWSP) is an NCEP, event-driven product. The
TCSWSP is an experimental product which will be made available via
the NDFD. This product depicts probabilities, in percent, of
sustained surface wind speeds. These probabilities are expressed for
wind speed thresholds equal to or exceeding 34-, 50-, and 64-knots.
These wind speed probabilities are based on the track, intensity, and
wind structure (size in terms of radii) uncertainties in the official
forecasts from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The product will
cover the continental U.S. and adjacent waters. Tropical Cyclone Track and Watch/Warning Graphic The Tropical Cyclone Track and Watch/Warning graphic contains the
storm's forecast track, a cone along the track based upon the average
area of uncertainty for the position of the center, and coastal
tropical storm and hurricane watches/warnings. The coastal watches
and warnings display shows an approximate representation of coastal
areas under a hurricane warning (red), hurricane watch (pink),
tropical storm warning (blue) and tropical storm watch (yellow). The
orange circle indicates the current position of the center of the
tropical cyclone. The black line and dots show the NHC forecast track
of the center at the times indicated. The NHC forecast tracks of the
center can be in error, and the white areas indicate the increasing
average area of uncertainty for the position of the center as a
function of time. This product is also issued for subtropical
storms.
Tropical Cyclone Update (TCU) The TCU is a brief alphanumeric text product which the National
Hurricane Center (NHC) and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center
(CPHC) issue to inform customers of unexpected or sudden changes in a
tropical cyclone or to post or cancel watches and warnings. NHC and
CPHC issue TCUs on an event-driven basis in lieu of or preceding
special advisories.
Tropical Cyclone Watch/Warning Product The Tropical Cyclone Watch/Warning product (TCV) is based upon the
Valid Time Event Code (VTEC). It summarizes all new, continued, and
cancelled tropical cyclone watches and warnings issued by: the
National Hurricane Center (NHC) for the U.S. Atlantic and Gulf
coasts, Puerto Rico and U.S. Virgin Islands; and the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center (CPHC) for the main islands of Hawaii. Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Graphic This graphic illustrates the areas potentially being affected by
tropical cyclone sustained winds of varying force. The graphic also
shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a
hurricane warning, hurricane watch, tropical storm warning and
tropical storm watch. The white dot indicates the current position
of the center of the tropical cyclone, and the dashed black line
shows the histosry of the center of the tropical cyclone. Tropical Pacific Mean Sea-Surface Temperature (SST) Outlook The Climate Prediction Center's climate outlook techniques rely
significantly upon the slowly varying global SST field and do not
have usable accuracy at long lead times. These SST outlooks make
tangible the results of research activities by scientists. Tropical Streamline Surface Analysis A graphic product issued from the WFO Honolulu, HI, that provides
information on significant surface features over the Pacific Ocean
Basin such as location of high and low pressure systems, areas of
gale strength winds, and the Inter-tropical Convergence Tropical Surface Analysis A graphic product issued from the Tropical Prediction Center and the
WFO Honolulu, HI, that provides a depiction of significant surface
features over the Tropical Atlantic and Pacific Ocean Basins.
Features such as the location of high and low pressure s Tropical Weather Discussion (TWD) The TWD is an alphanumeric product providing information on current
atmospheric conditions at the surface and aloft such as tropical
cyclones, mesoscale and synoptic scale features, and areas of shallow
and deep convection. This product is prepared over the tropical and
subtropical Atlantic and Pacific ocean areas by the Tropical
Prediction Center and the Honolulu Weather Forecast Office.
Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) This PDD is updated for issuance of Special Tropical Weather Outlooks.
There are no other changes to this product.
The TWO is a text product prepared by the National Hurricane Center
and Central Pacific Hurricane Center for their respective areas of
responsibility. It is a general assessment of activity in the
tropics, pertaining to tropical cyclone formation by providing
possible areas where tropical cyclones could development.
Tropical Weather Summary (TWS) PDD updated for the following: Effective with the 2009 season, the
product changes from a narrative to a mainly tabular format.
The TWS is a monthly alphanumeric product issued by the National
Hurricane Center (NHC) and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center
(CPHC) to summarize tropical cyclone activity for the previous month.
NHC issues summaries for tropical cyclone activity over the Atlantic
and eastern north Pacific (north of the equator and east of 140W
longitude) basins. CPHC issues summaries for tropical cyclone
activity over the central North Pacific (north of the equator between
140W and 180W longitude) basin. The centers issue new summaries the
first day of each month from June through December. The last TWS of
the tropical cyclone season (December issuance) covers activity for
the entire season from June through the end of November. Effective
with the 2009 season, the product changes from a narrative to a
mainly tabular format. Tucson, AZ WFO Precipitation Monitoring Page The Tucson climate web page displays precipitation analyses for
National Weather Service observation sites in southeast Arizona.
This web page allows a person to select various methods for
precipitation analysis with an emphasis on drought monitoring.
Analyses can vary by length of time and geographic area of interest.
Data is presented in a graphical form of time versus amount. U. S. Drought Monitor NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) and National Climatic Data
Center (NCDC), the U.S. Department of Agriculture, and the National
Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC) jointly issues this graphic
summarizing the extent and intensity of drought conditions U.S. Drought Outlook CPC issues a national Drought Outlook for the remaining part of the
month of issue plus the next three months U.S. Drought Outlook Discussion The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issues a Drought Outlook
discussion for the remaining part of the month of issuance plus the
next three months. Volcanic Ash Advisory The Volcanic Ash Advisory (VAA) is an alphanumeric product providing
observational information on volcanic eruptions, and observational
and forecast information on the vertical and horizontal extent of
airborne volcanic ash. Water Resources Streamflow Outlook The National Weather Services (NWS) Water Resources Streamflow
Outlook webpage and text product provides expected streamflow
conditions for basins across the Ohio Valley for 30-days, 30- to
60days and 60- to 90-days. In the last few years, the NWS has added
the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) to it suite of
hydrologic services. As part of it, the River Forecast Centers
(RFC?s), began issuing 90-day probabilistic forecasts for river
forecast points using the National Weather Service River Forecast
Systems (NWSRFS) Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) service. With
the technology of ESP many opportunities are available for the
advancement of the hydrologic sciences. At the same time, there are
gaps within the current AHPS program that need to be filled. They
include short term probabilistic forecasts and 30, 60 and 90 day
streamflow forecasts for our customers and partners. Weather Activity Planner The Weather Activity Planner (WAP) is an easy to use interface that
permits public access to NOAAs National Weather Service (NWS) Weather
Forecast Offices (WFOs) local digital forecast data base. The web
page interface allows an individual to enter a range of values for
specific weather parameters and obtain a forecast for the defined
area of interest. The output is forecast data pulled directly from
the local WFOs digital forecast data base, and represents average
conditions for the next 7 days across a 5 km grid nearest the
user-selected point. The resulting data is presented graphically,
highlighting periods when the selected range of values applies. The
tool helps satisfy e-gov initiatives by offering an avenue to obtain
government-provided data. Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin The Climate Prediction Center's (CPC) and U.S. Department of
Agriculture's Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF) issue this
weekly report containing written summaries of domestic and
international agricultural weather conditions. Western Region Fire Weather/Marine Point Forecast Matrix (PFM) Land management agencies have expressed a need for easily accessible
tabular forecast data that is tailored toward fire behavior
applications. A fire weather version of the Point Forecast Matrix
(PFM) table fits this need well because it allows agency specialists
to quickly run simple fire behavior models for planning purposes.
This is turn allows land management agencies to ensure the safety of
fire crews as well as better plan prescribed burns and other projects
in a cost and resource effective manner. Western Region Graphical Weather Story of the Day The Graphical “Weather Story of the Day” is a graphical representation
(product) which depicts the most important weather feature in the
forecast area of responsibility of individual NWS Weather Forecast
Offices (WFO) in Western Region. The “Weather Story of the Day” is
not time dependent. That is, the product depicts the most significant
weather feature through the 7-day forecast period. A graphical user
interface allows
the forecaster to include a brief text, a few sentences in length,
describing the “Weather Story of the Day” graphical product. If
necessary the product may include a series of images to more clearly
communicate complex weather situations. Western Region Headquarter Web Site/Page The Western Region (WR) Headquarter Web Site/Page provides access to a
description of Western Region Headquarters (WRHQ) and resources, a
summary of current watch/warnings in effect, and some visual pages
that provide links to WR offices and other National Weather Service
(NWS) sites. Western Region Standardized Fire Weather Web Pages The need for improved fire weather information via the internet by
land
management and fire suppression agencies in Western Region (WR) is
continually increasing.
Multiple fire weather user agencies have requested a consistent WFO
fire weather web page layout and more interactive graphical web pages
to provide critical fire weather information.
To account for these requests, WR tested consistent, interactive,
fire weather web pages at every WR WFO from August 1, 2008 to June 1,
2009. Customer comment via a standard web survey,e-mail and
face-to-face fire weather meetings was overwhelmingly positive. The
pages became operational on November 2, 2009. WFO Display of Ceiling Forecast Graphic The Ceiling Forecast Graphic is a web-based presentation of digital
ceiling forecast data originating from local Weather Forecast Office
(WFO) digital databases. The WFO digital forecast data are uploaded
to a regional web server. These graphic images display ceilings from
the time of issuance out to 24 hours. WFO Eureka Humboldt Bay Bar Graphical Forecast A graphical display of wave height, period, direction and areas of
extreme wave steepness or breaking potential in and near the entrance
to Humboldt Bay, CA Winds and Temperatures Aloft Forecast The Winds and Temperatures Aloft Forecast (FDHW) is an alphanumeric
product providing a coded forecast for winds and temperatures aloft
for Lihue, Honolulu, Kahului and Hilo within the National Weather
Service's Pacific Region's Weather Forecast Office ( World Area Forecast System (WAFS) Significant Weather High Level Charts The WAFS Significant Weather (SIGWX) High Level Charts are graphic
representations of forecasted significant weather on a global scale.
The SIGWX High Level Charts indicate the 24-hour future position of
jet streams, tropopause heights, convection, turb WR Climate Web Page The WR Climate Web Page provides a single web based interface for the
public to more easily access official climate forecasts, climate
products and daily weather summaries currently issued as part of the
routine suite of NWS services. WR Water Supply Page The WR Water Supply Page provides a single web page for displaying
water supply forecasts from all WR RFCs. Forecasts are color coded
according to percentage of normal runoff volume. More specific
information for individual forecast points is available by drilling
down to points.